- The red line measures deviations from predicted
values, which are represented by the blue line. Ignore
the gap between the red and blue lines and concentrate on
how closely the red line centers toward 0. The closer to
0, the less the deviation of a country's observed score
on Rule of Law from its predicted score.
- For example, the predicted score for Mauritius (0.76)
was virtually the same as its observed score of 0.79,
deviating only 0.03 from predicted.
- In contrast, Malawi's predicted score was a very low
-1.44, but it actually scored 0.39, as it deviated 1.05
above its prediction.
- Zimbabwe provides a contrary example, actually
scoring -1.67 as it deviated -0.65 below its predicted
score of -1.02.
The PDF country pages display the observed Rule of Law
Scores, predicted scores, and residuals (deviations from
the predictions). Each page reports country size, wealth,
and party data. Download a
212 page PDF that serves for all countries.