James Ockey, "Variations on
a Theme: Societal Cleavages and Party Orientations Through
Multiple Transitions in Thailand," Party Politics, 11
(November, 2005), 728-747.
First Paragraph:
The September 1992 election in Thailand was deemed a contest
between 'angel' and 'devil' parties. In this, the first
election after the 'bloody May' democratic uprising, the
angels were parties that had sided with the demonstrators,
while the devils were parties that had sided with the
military government. The angels won a resounding victory. A
shared battle for democracy, one where many sacrificed their
lives, might be expected to create the conditions for a
long-term political alliance, even an enduring cleavage in
the party system. However, the angels quickly proved unable
to maintain their alliance. By the ensuing election, angels
mixed with devils as relationships between parties and
sentiment among voters shifted. Why did these alliances
prove so ephemeral? Have other transitions to democracy in
Thailand produced similar outcomes? In seeking to understand
the relationship between democratic transitions, societal
cleavages and party orientations, Thailand provides a
particularly useful case. It has experienced multiple
transitions to democracy. A comparison of these transitions
may provide some tentative answers to questions raised in
this special issue.
Figures and Tables:
Table 1. Cleavages, the party system and the 1957
election
Table 2. Cleavages, the party system and the 1975
election
Table 3. Cleavages, the party system and the 1992
elections
Table 4. Cleavages, the party system and the 2001
election
Last Paragraph:
The financial crisis of 1997 exposed societal cleavages that
had been suppressed by repression and constitutional
engineering, then masked by rapid development throughout the
1980s and early 1990s. While all social strata were
affected, particularly hard-hit by the crisis were the poor
and those in the long-neglected Northeastern region. A new
attempt at constitutional engineering ensued. The provisions
of the constitution should have benefited primarily Bangkok
and the middle strata. However, in the 2001 election,
populist policies carried the day, especially in the
Northeast. It is difficult to extrapolate a trend. The Thai
Rak Thai party also won the support of the rich and the
middle strata through debt relief, promises of rapid growth
and nationalism. Nevertheless, the societal cleavages remain
and may prove difficult to contain
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