John T. Ishiyama, "'Red Versus Expert': Candidate
Recruitment and Communist Party Adaptation in Post-Soviet
Politics," Party Politics, 4 (July 1998),
297-318.
First Paragraph:
The return of the postcommunist parties to the political
scene in Eastern Europe and in the former Soviet Union has
become of increasing interest, not only to political
scientists but to the public at large (Racz, 1993; Zubek,
1994; Agh, 1995; Evans and Whitefield, 1995; Mahr and Nagle,
1995; Waller, 1995). Nowhere has the importance of these
parties in postcommunist politics been so evident as in the
Russian Federation, particularly with the political revival
of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF).
Surprisingly, although there has been a considerable amount
of attention paid to the postcommunist parties and party
systems in Eastern Europe, relatively little systematic
attention has been paid to the case of the KPRF (Ishiyama,
1996a). Indeed, although the party's electoral gains in 1995
were generally expected, the magnitude of communist gains
took many western analysts by surprise. These gains, coupled
with the strong showing of the KPRF candidate, Gennady
Zyuganov, in the presidential elections of 16 June 1996,
have rekindled an interest in a party that had, until
recently, been relatively ignored.
Figures and Tables:
Table 1: Votes and seats won by party, 1993 and 1995
Table 2: Size of city of permanent residence for all
candidates by party for 1993 and 1995, in percentages
(number of candidates in parentheses)
Table 3: Difference of means test for variable POLNOT for
all candidates, 1993 and 1995, by party
Table 4: Political notability of all candidates by size of
city of permanent residence, KPRF, 1995
Table 5: Political notability of all candidates by size of
city of permanent residence, APR, 1995
Table 6: Political notability of all candidates by size of
city of permanent residence, LDPR, 1995
Table 7: Difference of means test for political notability
of KPRF single-mandate district candidates, 1993 and
1995
Table 8: Mean POLNOT scores for KPRF single-mandate district
candidates by city size of permanent residence, 1993 and
1995
Table 9: Coefficient estimates for probit analysis,
dependent variable = KPRFWIN, only non-incumbent
candidates
Last Paragraph:
What are the long-term consequences of the 1995 election on
the future development of the KPRF? A likely scenario would
involve its further fragmentation, particularly if the enemy
that unifies them (President El'tsin) passes from the
political scene. The influx of two kinds of Duma deputies,
those who are not dependent on any particular political
ideology and those who are party diehards, may further
divide the party from within. Indeed, Remington and Smith
(1995) noted that after the 1993 election, district deputies
tended to have more extreme views than party list deputies
and tended to be more cohesive in their voting patterns than
the party list deputies. The results of the 1995
parliamentary election are likely to exacerbate this
tendency toward internal division between the 'moderate'
party center and the more radical local organizations in the
rural areas and smaller cities. Although the presidential
election served to rally the party and its various wings,
the 'truce' is likely to be temporary - support for
Zyuganov's candidacy stemmed largely from opposition to
El'tsin. To be sure, parties have survived and even
flourished despite such divisions between center and local
organizations (witness the major parties in the USA, for
instance), and there is always the possibility that a
balance will be struck between the center and local party
organizations within the KPRF as well. However, this time
the issues that divide the leadership and the local
organizations are over basic principles of the party's
identity, and it is unlikely that these differ-ences will
soon be resolved. Whatever the case, the results of the 1995
elec-tion will have important and far-reaching consequences
for the future development of the KPRF and its role in the
democratization of Russian politics.
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